[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":205},["ShallowReactive",2],{"DlFXI4Eibt_Bn9lrEZz1TYbHCWFZj3IvqwHQSEW-Exc":3,"Cj_uy7689RI95KU8Tusw5y3c6gsNbcUanSRIZ7jvudA":194},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":6},0,"",{"category":7,"tag":11,"hot":39,"new":78,"banner":118,"data":143,"cache":193},[8,9,10],"Agent","OpenAI","LLM",[12,14,17,20,23,25,27,30,33,36],{"title":8,"total":13},39,{"title":15,"total":16},"Google",44,{"title":18,"total":19},"Nvidia",13,{"title":21,"total":22},"Claude",11,{"title":9,"total":24},35,{"title":10,"total":26},85,{"title":28,"total":29},"DeepSeek",9,{"title":31,"total":32},"OCR",1,{"title":34,"total":35},"Chat",7,{"title":37,"total":38},"Generator",116,[40,48,55,64,71],{"id":41,"publish_date":42,"is_original":4,"collection":5,"cover_url":43,"cover_url_1_1":44,"title":45,"summary":46,"author":47},557,"2022-04-29","article_res/cover/7a9b1375ed9bb298154981bae42b794d.jpeg","article_res/cover/afa281dd52bc0454e6735daa8e6b0706.jpeg","Translation and summary of Messari Report [2.8 Kristin Smith, Blockchain Association and Katie Haun, a16z]","We need unity and speed right now.","Translation",{"id":49,"publish_date":50,"is_original":4,"collection":5,"cover_url":51,"cover_url_1_1":52,"title":53,"summary":54,"author":47},531,"2022-05-25","article_res/cover/e8362057f8fa189594c60afdfaaeb6e5.jpeg","article_res/cover/8ea08d0d6fa7eee6b57ed4ec61b61ad6.jpeg","Decentralized Society: Finding Web3’s Soul / Decentralized Society: Finding the Soul of Web3 -7","Decentralization through Pluralism When analyzing ecosystems, it's desirable to measure how decentralized it is.",{"id":56,"publish_date":57,"is_original":32,"collection":58,"cover_url":59,"cover_url_1_1":60,"title":61,"summary":62,"author":63},127,"2024-11-14","#Google #AI Game #World Model #AI Story","article_res/cover/0233a875b7ec2debf59779e311547569.jpeg","article_res/cover/6ffddb6ae4914b3c699493311aa9f198.jpeg","Google Launches \"Unbounded\": A Generative Infinite Character Life Simulation Game","Unbounded: A Generative Infinite Game of Character Life Simulation","Renee's Entrepreneurial Journey",{"id":13,"publish_date":65,"is_original":32,"collection":66,"cover_url":67,"cover_url_1_1":68,"title":69,"summary":70,"author":63},"2025-02-14","#Deep Dive into LLMs #Andrej Karpathy #LLM #Tool Use #Hallucination","article_res/cover/11e858ad6b74dfa80f923d549b62855c.jpeg","article_res/cover/615e1b320f1fc163edc1d2d154a6de33.jpeg","Andrej Karpathy's in-depth explanation of LLM (Part 4): Hallucinations","hallucinations, tool use, knowledge/working memory",{"id":72,"publish_date":73,"is_original":4,"collection":5,"cover_url":74,"cover_url_1_1":75,"title":76,"summary":77,"author":47},579,"2022-04-07","article_res/cover/39387376ba28447af1eb40576b9df215.jpeg","article_res/cover/02727ede8551ed49901d0abe6d6305b7.jpeg","Messari Report Translation and Summary 【1-7 Surviving the Winter】","I’d be more cautious here: 10 year and 10 hour thinking only.",[79,87,95,103,111],{"id":80,"publish_date":81,"is_original":32,"collection":82,"cover_url":83,"cover_url_1_1":84,"title":85,"summary":86,"author":63},627,"2025-03-20","#AI Avatar #AI Video Generation","article_res/cover/d95481358f73924989f8c4ee9c75d1c8.jpeg","article_res/cover/b74bc0fab01f8b6a6aa87696c0c3ed8b.jpeg","DisPose: Generating Animated Videos by Driving Video with Reference Images","DisPose is a controllable human image animation method that enhances video generation.",{"id":88,"publish_date":89,"is_original":32,"collection":90,"cover_url":91,"cover_url_1_1":92,"title":93,"summary":94,"author":63},626,"2025-03-21","#Deep Dive into LLMs #LLM #RL #Andrej Karpathy #AlphaGo","article_res/cover/446553a5c8f8f2f07d97b20eaee84e56.jpeg","article_res/cover/e6c2823409c9b34624064b9acbaca6f1.jpeg","AlphaGo and the Power of Reinforcement Learning - Andrej Karpathy's Deep Dive on LLMs (Part 9)","Simply learning from humans will never surpass human capabilities.",{"id":96,"publish_date":97,"is_original":32,"collection":98,"cover_url":99,"cover_url_1_1":100,"title":101,"summary":102,"author":63},625,"2025-03-22","#Deep Dive into LLMs #LLM #RL #RLHF #Andrej Karpathy","article_res/cover/8da81d38b1e5cf558a164710fd8a5389.jpeg","article_res/cover/96f028d76c362a99a0dd56389e8f7a9b.jpeg","Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) - Andrej Karpathy's Deep Dive on LLMs (Part 10)","Fine-Tuning Language Models from Human Preferences",{"id":104,"publish_date":105,"is_original":32,"collection":106,"cover_url":107,"cover_url_1_1":108,"title":109,"summary":110,"author":63},624,"2025-03-23","#Deep Dive into LLMs #LLM #Andrej Karpathy #AI Agent #MMM","article_res/cover/a5e7c3d48bb09109684d6513287c661d.jpeg","article_res/cover/d3f22b7c0ab8d82fd2da457a299e0773.jpeg","The Future of Large Language Models - Andrej Karpathy's In-Depth Explanation of LLM (Part 11)","preview of things to come",{"id":112,"publish_date":105,"is_original":32,"collection":113,"cover_url":114,"cover_url_1_1":115,"title":116,"summary":117,"author":63},623,"#Google #Voe #AI Video Generation","article_res/cover/c44062fea0f336c2b96b3928292392c2.jpeg","article_res/cover/a041041c69092ad3db191c5bf3ff981b.jpeg","Trial of Google's video generation model VOE2","Our state-of-the-art video generation model",[119,127,135],{"id":120,"publish_date":121,"is_original":32,"collection":122,"cover_url":123,"cover_url_1_1":124,"title":125,"summary":126,"author":63},160,"2024-10-04","#Philosophy","article_res/cover/496990c49211e8b7f996b7d39c18168e.jpeg","article_res/cover/14dbaa1ade9cb4316d5829423a900362.jpeg","Time","The fungus of the morning does not know the waxing and waning of the moon, and the cicada does not know the seasons; this is a short life. To the south of the state of Chu there is a dark spirit which regards five hundred years as spring and five hundred years as autumn. In ancient times there was a great tree called the Ming which regarded eight thousand years as spring and eight thousand years as autumn; this is a long life.",{"id":128,"publish_date":129,"is_original":32,"collection":130,"cover_url":131,"cover_url_1_1":132,"title":133,"summary":134,"author":63},98,"2024-12-17","#AI Video Generator #Sora #Pika","article_res/cover/3b86e85d03fff4f356a3e4cf2bb329c9.jpeg","article_res/cover/5fa5c20ad0b40f8f544d257c0ef02938.jpeg","Pika 2.0 video generation officially released: effect comparison with Sora","今天，我们推出了Pika 2.0模型。卓越的文字对齐效果。惊人的视觉表现。还有✨场景成分✨",{"id":136,"publish_date":137,"is_original":32,"collection":138,"cover_url":139,"cover_url_1_1":140,"title":141,"summary":142,"author":63},71,"2025-01-14","#Nvidia #World Foundation Model #Cosmos #Physical AI #Embodied AI","article_res/cover/feddf8c832dfb45d28804291f6a42a9e.jpeg","article_res/cover/d6bc2f1186d96b78228c2283a17a3645.jpeg","NVIDIA's Cosmos World Model","Cosmos World Foundation Model Platform for Physical AI",[144,163,188],{"title":8,"items":145},[146,147,155],{"id":104,"publish_date":105,"is_original":32,"collection":106,"cover_url":107,"cover_url_1_1":108,"title":109,"summary":110,"author":63},{"id":148,"publish_date":149,"is_original":32,"collection":150,"cover_url":151,"cover_url_1_1":152,"title":153,"summary":154,"author":63},622,"2025-03-24","#OWL #AI Agent #MAS #MCP #CUA","article_res/cover/cb50ca7f2bf4d1ed50202d7406e1c19a.jpeg","article_res/cover/4aa7aa3badfacf3cc84121334f1050dd.jpeg","OWL: Multi-agent collaboration","OWL: Optimized Workforce Learning for General Multi-Agent Assistance in Real-World Task Automation",{"id":156,"publish_date":157,"is_original":32,"collection":158,"cover_url":159,"cover_url_1_1":160,"title":161,"summary":162,"author":63},620,"2025-03-26","#LLM #Google #Gemini #AI Agent","article_res/cover/53751a6dbbe990b1eb0b63f3b062aed4.jpeg","article_res/cover/031344981f0a212ff82d1f3a64aa5756.jpeg","Gemini 2.5 Pro, claimed to be far ahead of the competition, has been released with great fanfare: comprehensively surpassing other LLMs and topping the global rankings","Gemini 2.5: Our most intelligent AI model",{"title":9,"items":164},[165,172,180],{"id":166,"publish_date":157,"is_original":32,"collection":167,"cover_url":168,"cover_url_1_1":169,"title":170,"summary":171,"author":63},619,"#OpenAI #AI Image Generator #4o #MMM #AR Transformer","article_res/cover/2faffc97fcecf3151552cb0fd3206d89.jpeg","article_res/cover/1133cb4948af44cee2e7fbe79efb69e5.jpeg","The native image function of GPT-4o is officially launched","Introducing 4o Image Generation",{"id":173,"publish_date":174,"is_original":4,"collection":175,"cover_url":176,"cover_url_1_1":177,"title":178,"summary":179,"author":63},434,"2023-07-15","#Anthropic #OpenAI #Google #AI Code Generator #Claude","article_res/cover/e1b6f600a2b9f262a4392684e5f2ce25.jpeg","article_res/cover/6e1772e83f78f9a351ab23d3e414adee.jpeg","Latest Updates on Google Bard /Anthropic Claude2 / ChatGPT Code Interpreter","We want our models to use their programming skills to provide more natural interfaces to the basic functions of our computers.  \n - OpenAI",{"id":181,"publish_date":182,"is_original":4,"collection":183,"cover_url":184,"cover_url_1_1":185,"title":186,"summary":187,"author":63},417,"2023-08-24","#OpenAI","article_res/cover/bccf897d50a88b18364e35f7466387e0.jpeg","article_res/cover/2f871085c1073717c1703ae86e18056f.jpeg","The GPT-3.5 Turbo fine-tuning (fine-tuning function) has been released～","Developers can now bring their own data to customize GPT-3.5 Turbo for their use cases.",{"title":10,"items":189},[190,191,192],{"id":88,"publish_date":89,"is_original":32,"collection":90,"cover_url":91,"cover_url_1_1":92,"title":93,"summary":94,"author":63},{"id":96,"publish_date":97,"is_original":32,"collection":98,"cover_url":99,"cover_url_1_1":100,"title":101,"summary":102,"author":63},{"id":104,"publish_date":105,"is_original":32,"collection":106,"cover_url":107,"cover_url_1_1":108,"title":109,"summary":110,"author":63},true,{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":195},{"id":196,"publish_date":197,"is_original":32,"collection":198,"articles_id":199,"cover_url":200,"cover_url_1_1":201,"title":202,"summary":203,"author":63,"content":204},153,"2024-10-13","#Anthropic #AGI","6y81UH9T4eusIa41qaRXQA","article_res/cover/85d2c4a24f8bc6195e5ab52d32896652.jpeg","article_res/cover/13195cf2440e8febbc94bfaa557773e3.jpeg","The latest AI article by Dario, CEO of Anthropic","AI - a country of geniuses in a datacenter","\u003Cdiv class=\"rich_media_content js_underline_content\n                       autoTypeSetting24psection\n            \" id=\"js_content\">\u003Cp style='margin-bottom: 0px;;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);'>Thomas recommended an article to me yesterday: \"Machines of Loving Grace - How AI Could Transform the World for the Better,\" written by Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic. Dario earned a Ph.D. in biophysics from Princeton University and was a postdoctoral researcher at Stanford University School of Medicine.\u003C/p>\u003Ch2 style='margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85);;font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);'>\u003Cspan style=\";font-size: 22px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;font-weight: bold;display: block;\">Concerns\u003C/span>\u003C/h2>\u003Cp style='margin-bottom: 0px;;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);'>In the article, Dario raised many concerns about the development of AI:\u003C/p>\u003Cul style='margin-top: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;;padding-left: 25px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);' class=\"list-paddingleft-1\">\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cp style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">The basic development of AI technology and many (but not all) of its benefits seem inevitable (unless risks derail everything), driven primarily by powerful market forces. On the other hand, risks are not predetermined, and our actions can significantly alter the probability of these risks occurring.\u003C/p>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cp style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">When AI companies overemphasize the benefits of AI, it easily gives the impression that they are avoiding negative issues or even engaging in propaganda. I believe that, in principle, speaking too much \"from one's own perspective\" is also harmful to personal integrity.\u003C/p>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cp style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">I often feel uncomfortable with the way many public figures discussing AI risks (let alone leaders of AI companies) describe the world after AGI (Artificial General Intelligence). It seems like they want to act as prophets leading people toward \"redemption.\" I think it is dangerous to view companies as unilateral forces shaping the world, and it is inappropriate to interpret technological goals in a religious manner.\u003C/p>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cp style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">While I think most people underestimate the potential of powerful AI, those currently discussing radical AI futures often do so in overly \"sci-fi\" tones (e.g., talking about uploading consciousness, space exploration, or cyberpunk-style futures). This makes it difficult for people to take these claims seriously and casts a layer of unreality over these ideas. To clarify, the issue is not whether these technologies are possible or how likely they are to happen (the main text discusses this in detail), but rather the \"atmosphere\" implies certain cultural baggage and unstated assumptions about what kind of future we desire and how social issues will evolve. Ultimately, such discussions often resemble the fantasies of niche subcultures, alienating most people. (Yesterday's Elon Musk event followed this sci-fi route.)\u003C/p>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003C/ul>\u003Cp style='margin-bottom: 0px;;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);'>is equally indispensable.\u003C/p>\u003Ch2 style='margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85);;font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);'>\u003Cspan style=\";font-size: 22px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;font-weight: bold;display: block;\">Basic assumptions and frameworks\u003C/span>\u003C/h2>\u003Cp style='margin-bottom: 0px;;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);'>Dario prefers using \"powerful AI\" instead of \"AGI\" (Artificial General Intelligence) and believes this AI might resemble today's LLMs (large language models), but potentially based on different architectures or training methods. It has several key characteristics, summarized simply as \"\u003C/p>\u003Col style='margin-top: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;;padding-left: 25px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);' class=\"list-paddingleft-1\">\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cp style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">: In fields such as biology, programming, mathematics, engineering, and writing, this AI surpasses Nobel laureates in pure intelligence. It can prove unsolved mathematical theorems, write extremely complex code, and even produce excellent novels.\u003C/p>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cp style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">: This AI is not just \"an intelligent entity you can converse with\"; it has all human operation interfaces in virtual environments, including text, audio, video, mouse/keyboard control, and internet access. It can operate through these interfaces, performing tasks on the internet, issuing or receiving instructions from humans, ordering materials, guiding experiments, watching or creating videos, and more, surpassing the best humans globally in completing these tasks.\u003C/p>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cp style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">: This AI does more than passively answer questions; it can be assigned tasks that take hours, days, or even weeks to complete, executing them independently like a smart employee, only asking for clarification when necessary.\u003C/p>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cp style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">: Although AI has no physical form (except for its presentation on computer screens), it can control existing physical tools, robots, or experimental equipment via computers. Theoretically, it could even design robots or devices for itself to use.\u003C/p>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cp style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">: The resources used to train this AI can be reused, running millions of instances (expected to match cluster scales by 2027), which absorb information and generate actions 10 to 100 times faster than humans. However, it may be limited by the response time of the physical world or the software it interacts with.\u003C/p>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cp style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">: Each instance can independently perform different tasks or collaborate like humans, working together as multiple instances. Depending on the task requirements, different subgroups can be fine-tuned to excel in specific tasks.\u003C/p>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003C/ol>\u003Cp style='margin-bottom: 0px;;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);'>Dario gave an interesting example of an economist: usually, discussions focus on the marginal returns of production factors, such as labor, land, and capital. Simply put, a particular production factor may become a limiting factor in specific situations. For example, air forces need both planes and pilots, but adding more pilots is useless without enough planes.\u003C/p>\u003Cp style='margin-bottom: 0px;;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);'>In the AI era, we should start discussing the \"marginal returns to intelligence.\" As AI becomes increasingly intelligent, we need to understand which other factors complement intelligence and what factors will become new bottlenecks or limitations when intelligence reaches extremely high levels.\u003C/p>\u003Cp style='margin-bottom: 0px;;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);'>Therefore, to understand how intelligence affects the speed and effectiveness of production and problem-solving, we need to ask the question:\u003C/p>\u003Cblockquote style='margin-top: 20px;margin-bottom: 20px;;padding: 10px 10px 10px 20px;border-top: 3px none rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.4);border-right: 3px none rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.4);border-bottom: 3px none rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.4);border-radius: 0px;background: none 0% 0% / auto no-repeat scroll padding-box border-box rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.05);width: auto;height: auto;box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0) 0px 0px 0px 0px;overflow: auto;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;text-wrap: wrap;'>\u003Cp style=\";line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">how much does being smarter help with this task, and on what timescale?\u003C/p>\u003C/blockquote>\u003Ch2 style='margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85);;font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);'>\u003Cspan style=\";font-size: 22px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;font-weight: bold;display: block;\">Limit\u003C/span>\u003C/h2>\u003Cp style='margin-bottom: 0px;;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);'>Dario mentioned several major constraints:\u003C/p>\u003Col style='margin-top: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;;padding-left: 25px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);' class=\"list-paddingleft-1\">\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cp style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">: Hardware, material science, communication with humans, and even existing software infrastructure all have upper limits on their speeds. Additionally, scientific experiments are often sequential, where one experiment depends on the results of the previous one. This means the speed of completing large projects (such as developing cancer treatments) may have an irreducible minimum, even if intelligence continues to improve, this speed cannot be accelerated.\u003C/p>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cp style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">: For example, today's particle physicists, despite being very intelligent and proposing many theories, lack sufficient evidence to verify or choose among different theories due to limited data from particle accelerators. Even if AI becomes super-intelligent, it may not significantly advance progress without enough data.\u003C/p>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cp style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">: Some things are inherently unpredictable or chaotic, and even the most powerful AI cannot predict them significantly better than humans or current computers. For example, predicting chaotic systems in the three-body problem, AI's advantage is limited to slightly extending predictions beyond today's technology.\u003C/p>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cp style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">: Many things cannot be accomplished without violating laws, harming humans, or disrupting society. Nuclear energy, supersonic flight, and even elevator technology are advanced, but their impacts are greatly reduced due to regulations or fear.\u003C/p>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cp style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">: This is a stricter version of the first limitation. Certain physical laws seem unbreakable. For example, it is impossible to exceed the speed of light, mixed pudding cannot be separated again, there is a limit to the number of transistors per square centimeter on chips, and beyond a certain range, they become unreliable. Computation requires a certain amount of energy to erase each bit, limiting the computational density in the world.\u003C/p>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003C/ol>\u003Ch2 style='margin-top: 30px;margin-bottom: 15px;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85);;font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);'>\u003Cspan style=\";font-size: 22px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 1.5em;letter-spacing: 0em;font-weight: bold;display: block;\">Timescale\u003C/span>\u003C/h2>\u003Cp style='margin-bottom: 0px;;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);'>In the short term, some factors may be hard limits that AI cannot break through, but in the long term, these limitations may become more malleable. For example:\u003C/p>\u003Cul style='margin-top: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;;padding-left: 25px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);' class=\"list-paddingleft-1\">\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">: AI might develop new experimental methods, allowing data previously obtainable only through live animal experiments to now be achieved through in vitro experiments.\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">: AI can help us design and build new tools, such as larger particle accelerators, to obtain currently lacking scientific data.\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">: Within ethical boundaries, AI might help us improve clinical trial systems, reduce bureaucracy, and even create new jurisdictions to make clinical trials more efficient or cost-effective. It could also improve scientific technology, reducing the need for human clinical trials.\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003C/ul>\u003Cp style='margin-bottom: 0px;;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);'>We should look at the role of intelligence from a dynamic perspective. Initially, intelligence may be severely constrained by other production factors, but over time, AI will gradually find ways to bypass these bottlenecks, although they will never completely disappear (e.g., physical laws).\u003C/p>\u003Cp style='margin-bottom: 0px;;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);'>So another question we need to ask is:\u003C/p>\u003Cblockquote style='margin-top: 20px;margin-bottom: 20px;;padding: 10px 10px 10px 20px;border-top: 3px none rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.4);border-right: 3px none rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.4);border-bottom: 3px none rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.4);border-left-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.4);border-radius: 0px;background: none 0% 0% / auto no-repeat scroll padding-box border-box rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.05);width: auto;height: auto;box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0) 0px 0px 0px 0px;overflow: auto;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;text-wrap: wrap;'>\u003Cp style=\";line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;text-indent: 0em;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;\">How fast does it all happen and in what order?\u003C/p>\u003C/blockquote>\u003Cp style='margin-bottom: 0px;;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;padding-top: 8px;padding-bottom: 8px;font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);'>Tomorrow's notes will begin analyzing the direct improvement potential of AI in human life across these five areas:\u003C/p>\u003Col style='margin-top: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;;padding-left: 25px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Optima, \"Microsoft YaHei\", PingFangSC-regular, serif;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: normal;text-align: left;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);' class=\"list-paddingleft-1\">\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cstrong style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);background: none 0% 0% / auto no-repeat scroll padding-box border-box rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);width: auto;height: auto;border-style: none;border-width: 3px;border-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.4);border-radius: 0px;\">Biology and physical health\u003C/strong>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cstrong style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);background: none 0% 0% / auto no-repeat scroll padding-box border-box rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);width: auto;height: auto;border-style: none;border-width: 3px;border-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.4);border-radius: 0px;\">Neuroscience and mental health\u003C/strong>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cstrong style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);background: none 0% 0% / auto no-repeat scroll padding-box border-box rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);width: auto;height: auto;border-style: none;border-width: 3px;border-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.4);border-radius: 0px;\">Economic development and poverty issues\u003C/strong>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cstrong style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);background: none 0% 0% / auto no-repeat scroll padding-box border-box rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);width: auto;height: auto;border-style: none;border-width: 3px;border-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.4);border-radius: 0px;\">Peace and governance\u003C/strong>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003Cli style=\";\">\u003Csection style=\";margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;color: rgb(1, 1, 1);line-height: 1.8em;letter-spacing: 0em;\">\u003Cstrong style=\";color: rgb(0, 0, 0);background: none 0% 0% / auto no-repeat scroll padding-box border-box rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);width: auto;height: auto;border-style: none;border-width: 3px;border-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.4);border-radius: 0px;\">Work and meaning\u003C/strong>\u003C/section>\u003C/li>\u003C/ol>\u003Cp style=\"display: none;\">\u003Cmp-style-type data-value=\"3\">\u003C/mp-style-type>\u003C/p>\u003C/div>",1752585447910]